Archive for February, 2010

Senator Evan Bayh’s resignation weakens Democrats before elections

Tuesday, February 16th, 2010

  

Senator Evan Bayh’s resignation weakens Democrats before elections.  New calculations reduce party’s hopes of retaining Senate control as mood shifts.

Chris McGreal in Washington guardian.co.uk, Monday 15 February 2010 19.53 GMT Article history

The Democrats today suffered a further blow in the runup to the midterm Congressional elections after another of the party's senators, Evan Bayh of Indiana, announced he will stand down.

The resignation greatly weakens the Democrats' chances of holding on to the seat, which will now become a prime target of the Republican campaign to win back control of the Senate in November.

Bayh, a former state governor who was considered a possible vice-presidential running mate for Barack Obama, denied that his decision not to run again after 12 years in the Senate was prompted by the declining popularity of the Democrats amid continuing popular disillusionment over the economy.

But it will contribute to the perception that the party is on the retreat as he becomes the fifth Democratic party senator to stand down, while others are fighting to retain seats that they won four years ago.

Bayh, 54, had until recently been favoured to retain his seat. Opinion polls showed that he remained personally popular with Indiana voters, after winning re-election in 2006 with 60% of the vote, and he had a large election campaign fund put at about $13m.

But Bayh’s standing had eroded recently amid a wider backlash against the Democrats, principally driven by the continuing economic depression, that cost the party what had been considered the safe Senate seat for Massachusetts last month.

Bayh said that his desire to serve in Congress had “waned”. He denied that he was leaving because of the Democrats’ declining popularity and instead blamed the frustration of partisan political gridlock.

“There is too much partisanship and not enough progress – too much narrow ideology and not enough practical problem-solving. Even at a time of enormous challenge, the peoples’ business is not being done,” he said. The Democrats are defending a 59-41 majority in the Senate after losing the Massachusetts seat.

Until the Massachusetts upset, Democratic strategists believed that three or four of the party’s 18 seats up for election in November might be vulnerable.

But the loss of what had been considered a liberal stronghold, and the political energy that has injected into the Democrats’ opponents – both Republican loyalists and those activists, such as within the Tea Party movement, with a strong dislike of Obama – has changed the equation.

The Cook Political Report, a widely respected assessor of Congressional elections, says that two of the 18 Democratic seats up for grabs are definite Republican wins, five are too close to call and three others are vulnerable.

The loss of all 10 seats that the Republicans have a chance of winning would hand them control of the Senate.

The Cook report recently moved Bayh’s seat to the vulnerable list. Among the other Democrats fighting to hold on to their seats is the party’s leader in the Senate, Harry Reid.

Four other Democratic senators and six Republicans have so far announced they will not seek re-election.

via Senator Evan Bayh’s resignation weakens Democrats before elections | World news | guardian.co.uk.

UN global warming data skewed by heat from planes and buildings – Telegraph

Monday, February 15th, 2010

UN global warming data skewed by heat from planes and buildings

Weather stations which produced data pointing towards man-made global warming may have been compromised by local conditions, a new report suggests.

By Heidi Blake

Published: 6:30AM GMT 15 Feb 2010

The IPCC claimed the Himalayan glaciers will disappear by 2035 – hundreds of years earlier than other studies suggest Photo: ALAMY The findings are set to cast further doubt on evidence put forward by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) which claims the science supporting rising temperatures is unequivocal.

The report co-written by Anthony Watts, an American meteorologist and climate sceptic, shows photographs of weather stations near heat-generating equipment which could be distorting their readings.

Some are next to air-conditioning units or on waste-treatment plants, while one sits alongside a waste incinerator. A weather station at Rome airport was found to catch the hot exhaust fumes emitted by taxiing jets.

Rising temperatures around the stations, which have been in use for 150 years, could also have been caused by urbanisation, the study claimed. One weather station at Manchester airport, which was built when the surrounding land was mainly fields, is now surrounded by heated buildings.

The IPCC used data from the weather stations to back up claims that greenhouse gases had already caused a 0.7C rise in temperature, and gave warnings that further warming of up to 6C by 2100 could have devastating effects on civilisation and wildlife.

But the panel has been mired in controversy since the leaking of emails from the climate change unit at The University of East Anglia, which appeared to show that data used to bolster the IPCC’s claims had been manipulated.

Four major errors have also been uncovered in the second of the panel’s four reports on the state of global climate change, published in 2007.

Most embarrasing for the IPCC was the inaccurate claim that the Himalayan glaciers would disappear by 2035 – hundreds of years earlier than other studies suggest – which was not backed up by any research.

The damaging new findings by Mr Watts, whose study has not been peer reviewed, are backed by Professor John Christy, a former lead author on the IPCC who specialises in atmospheric science at the University of Alabama, Huntsville.

Prof Christy has published research papers examining the effects of local factors on weather stations in California, Alabama and east Africa, which he believes drastically undermine the reliability of global temperature records.

“The story is the same for each one. The popular data sets show a lot of warming but the apparent temperature rise was actually caused by local factors affecting the local weather stations, such as land development,” he said.

Ross McKitrick, professor of economics at the University of Guelph, Canada, also highlighted problems with the weather data used by the IPCC after being invited to review its last report in 2007.

“We concluded, with overwhelming statistical significance, that the IPCC’s climate data are contaminated with surface effects from industrialisation and data quality problems. These add up to a large warming bias,” he said.

Kevin Trenberth, a lead author of the chapter of the IPCC report that deals with the observed temperature changes, acknowledged that there were problems with the global thermometer record but said these had been accounted for in the final report.

“It’s not just temperature rises that tell us the world is warming,” he said. “We also have physical changes like the fact that sea levels have risen around five inches since 1972, the Arctic icecap has declined by 40 per cent and snow cover in the northern hemisphere has declined.”

via UN global warming data skewed by heat from planes and buildings – Telegraph.

American Thinker Blog: Obama scrambling for a way out of KSM trial dilemma

Monday, February 15th, 2010

Obama scrambling for a way out of KSM trial dilemma

Rick Moran

The word is that Holder and Obama “never expected” the kind of pushback against holding a civilian trial for 9/11 plotter Khalid Sheikk Mohammed.

This is pretty clueless in and of itself. How tone deaf do you have to be in order to be caught unawares when such large majorities favor keeping KSM from using a civilian trial as a propaganda tool?

So now, Obama is frantically looking for a way out – keeping the idea of a civilian trial open but moving the venue somewhere else. This is probably a dead end and there are even many Democrats who believe the president will cave on the issue and have KSM tried by a military tribunal.

According to this article in the Washington Post by Anne Kornblut and Carrie Johnson, the president has “inserted himself” into the decision making process:

Officials acknowledged that Holder does not deserve all the blame for the political problems. “Their building represents what they do — justice. It's rightly not staffed with people who have to worry about congressional relations or federal funding,” one White House official said.

At first blush, the choice of New York made sense to many lawyers inside and outside of the administration: Judges and prosecutors there have handled serious national

via American Thinker Blog: Obama scrambling for a way out of KSM trial dilemma.